The perception discussion is flawed on a lot of levels, but even then I haven't seen this supposed blanket negative reaction to the game. Anecdotally I've seen plenty of support and interest in Shenmue III just skimming about comments sections, and a fair few seem to be coming to the series for the first time as well. I didn't expect universal fawning over it even in a best case scenario, and even in calmer seas it's a crap shoot trying to take the temperature of such a fickle and reactionary bunch like gamers, let alone with the turbulence we're experiencing now.
RDR2 was anticipated as a revolutionary Game of the Generation-tier behemoth, but most of the post-release discussion about it was dominated by what it did "wrong". I saw NeoGAF flip on Breath of the Wild pre-release, positive to negative to positive again. How many times have we seen armchair analysts predict a failure or a success and been proven wrong, how many "controversies" are forgotten once they're out of the news cycle long enough?
I don't think there's any merit in trying to portray this situation as one sided, when even in a very hostile environment to Shenmue III positive comments break through.
People being more likely to comment if they have something negative to say is a long researched phenomenon online, let alone why we tend to focus on the negative more attentively than the positive (I can't be the only one who has gone to buy something online with great reviews... then sit around just reading the negative ones), but it's not properly representative of what people are really thinking.
This is by no means scientific but please take the Twitter post for the latest Kickstarter update, which is swimming in negative comments from around 15-18 individuals. No idea if any appreciable number are actually backers and fans, or are just on a hate bandwagon; but that's not strictly relevant. Looks pretty bad if you just read the comments... but then you take a look at the likes on the post, which outnumber the angry individuals in the comments by around 4 or 5 to 1. I've observed this before on the Shenmue 3 Facebook page too over some other blowup that I don't specifically remember, so it's not an isolated case.
People will lash out if they're angry, but it's genuinely not as bad as you may think
I disagree. Comparing Shenmue III to RDR makes no sense to me. RDR is developed by Rockstar. RDR2 sold almost a billion in revenue in less than a week. None of the people complaining points to the games success or failure. That’s like pointing out that people criticize Marvel films, but that doesn’t stop Marvel movies from making a billion at the box office.
Shenmue III by comparison, is niche.
Shenmue will always be niche because it’s not even remotely trying to be mainstream. It’s about an auteur’s vision and has many gameplay elements that fly in the face of how many perceive games should be.
This is why Shenmue is always divisive. There’s little room for just “liking” Shenmue.
With that already stacked against it, it’s currently involved in a big controversy and backlash with masses of people that funded the game demanding refunds.
That’s not good. This is the type of product that can not afford fuck ups and they’re currently fucking it up.
So not only is Shenmue niche, but it’s also had public perception turn against it before its even came out. This is why your RDR and Zelda arguments don’t work: Rockstar at this point could put out anything it’d probably sell a billion dollars in a month. Zelda is Zelda. The post-release “backlash” if there is any, is irrelevant to the fact the games sold well.
Most here are saying the negativity won’t harm the game. I disagree heavily. I think most are trying to be positive but let’s face the following facts:
- Shenmue is niche and has limited appeal, therefore you must advertise it and cater to as many who might find it appealing as possible.
- the marketing for III is beyond poor, even with Deep Silver behind it.
- the game, which was originally publicly funded, is currently mired in a controversy that many people describe as ripping backers off.
With these elements combined you only have Shenmue diehards (which is the Kickstarter numbers at best) supporting the game. You can say,”well it’s for Shenmue fans and that means it’s pure” but at the end of the day we need new fans.
Shenmue HD collection didn’t light up the sales charts either. Meanwhile, yakuza games, which used to be niche, have been selling well even with remakes.
Shenmue III currently is NOT in a good position.
Maybe it’ll do well but there’s much stacked against it.
Short of another company (epic?) funding IV, I doubt we will be getting that game and I’m fully preparing myself for that happening.
It’s time for the rest of you to start considering the same possibility. This is not negativity, but stone cold realism.
All we can do from now is hope for the best.
But comparing Shenmue to RDR and Zelda isn’t it. Shenmue needed a Kickstarter to get off the ground after a decade of begging. RDR2 has made 1 billion dollars. Don’t compare them. Doing so smacks of delusion.
TLDR: every Shenmue fan should buy 4-5 copies of Shenmue III minimum. I’ve done my job. Got two extra copies pre-ordered and waiting to pre order the Limited Run Collectors Edition.